2015 Program

Because of the different knowledge and skill levels related to modeling among the intended audiences, we plan two tracks for this two-day conference:

  • Track 1 is for those with experience in the quantitative modeling of complex systems. It will consist of a combination of modeling demonstrations and paper or poster presentations.
  • Track 2 is for those who are new to systems theory and modeling. Day 1 will consist of an overview of the elements of systems thinking and modeling, as well as brief introductions to and demonstrations of three systems science modeling techniques (i.e., system dynamics modeling, agent-based modeling, and social network analysis).

For both tracks, Day 2 will involve either (a) participatory modeling demonstrations focused on two to three complex problems of relevance to communities or (b) paper presentations.

Conference Schedule

Downloadable version of Conference schedule

Time June 3, 2015
4:00 – 7:00 PM

REGISTRATION

Kellogg Center, South Lobby (near door to parking ramp)

6:00 PM

INFORMAL GATHERING FOR DINNER

Gather at conference registration to walk or take a taxi to a nearby restaurant

Kellogg Center, South Lobby (near door to parking ramp)

Time June 4, 2015
7:00 AM

REGISTRATION

Kellogg Center, South Lobby (near door to parking ramp)

7:30 – 8:00 AM

BREAKFAST

Room: Big Ten A

8:00 – 8:15 AM

WELCOME:

Hiram E. Fitzgerald

Room: Big Ten A

8:15 – 9:15 AM

PLENARY SPEAKER:

Allyson Beall King
Staying the Course: Collaborative Modeling as an Adaptive Process over Time

Room: Big Ten A

 

Track One: Experienced Modelers

Track Two: People New to Systems Thinking and Modeling

9:30 – 10:50 AM
Concurrent Sessions

Session 1: Agriculture, Food Systems, and Bio-Energy

Room: 103

Presentations:

Collaborative Geodesign for Multifunctional Landscapes

Holistic Decision Support Modeling to Convert Wastes to Energy

Integrating Biogeochemical and Price Forecasting Models to Predict Bioenergy Crop Supply and Environmental Impacts

Understanding the Consequences of Biodiversity Loss for Ecosystem Functioning: Integration of Quantitative System Modeling of Trophic Networks and Experimental Long-Term Data


Session 2: Participatory Modeling Approaches to Improving Nutrition and Health

Room: 104

Presentations:

A Participatory Approach to Modeling how Social, Behavioral, and Medical Factors Connect to Well-Being and Obesity

Bayesian Modeling


Session 3: Modeling Water Quality and Sustainability

Room: 106

Presentations:

Development of a System Dynamics Model to Assess the Impact of River Regulation on Groundwater Sustainability

Integrated Asset Management: Dealing with Neglected Infrastructure and Vacant Properties in Legacy Cities

Linking Ecological and Economic Models that Support Conservation Auctions to Reduce Harmful Algal Blooms in Lake Erie

Introduction to Complex Problems

Room: Heritage

Presentations:

Understanding the Characteristics of Complex Problems

Mapping Your Complex Problem

10:50 – 11:00 AM

BREAK

Refreshments near South Lobby

11:00 AM – 12:00 PM

PANEL DISCUSSION

Building Sustainable Community-University Participatory Modeling Partnerships

Room: Big Ten A

12:00 – 1:10 PM

LUNCH AND PLENARY SPEAKER

Room: Big Ten A

Bernard C. Patten
Institutionalized Model-Making (IMM): State-Space Structuring of Stakeholder-Based Collaborative Environmental and Natural Resource Systems Modeling for Team-Building, Database Organization, Systems Analysis, Scientific and Management Decision-Making, and Outreach

1:20 – 2:30 PM
Concurrent Sessions

Session 4: Mental Modeler

Room: 103

Demonstration:

Mental Modeler: A Fuzzy-Logic Cognitive Mapping (FCM) Software Tool for Collecting and Standardizing Stakeholder Knowledge for Collaborative Decision-Making


Session 5: Computational Social Science

Room: 104

Demonstration:

Computational Social Science: A Tutorial


Session 6: NOVA

Room: 106

Demonstration:

NOVA: A New Tool for System Dynamics, Agent-Based, and Spatial Modeling

Room: Heritage

Demonstration:

Social Network Analysis Demonstration

2:30 – 2:50 PM

BREAK

Refreshments near South Lobby

2:50 – 4:10 PM
Concurrent Sessions

Session 7: Systems Approaches for Achieving Sustainable Food Security

Room: 103

Presentations:

Evolution of a Research Community in Sustainable Production of Animal Protein

Applications of System-Dynamics Modeling to Sustainable Animal-Protein Production


Session 8: Understanding Substance Use and Mental Health Through Systems Modeling

Room: 104

Presentations:

Examining the Systemic Complexity of Unipolar Depression

Model, Dynamics, and Analysis of Drinking Groups


Session 9: Network Modeling: Integrating Social and Physical Systems

Room: Willy

Presentations:

Modeling World Trade: Land and Sea

Network Modeling of Teams: Linking Many Layers of Cooperation

Geographical Factors Driving Household Vulnerability in Four East African Countries


Session 10: Quantitative Systems Modeling Approaches

Room: 106

Presentations:

Collaborative Modeling in Urban Design: Parametric Design Games

Evolutionary Multi-Criterion Optimization Techniques to Optimal Agro-Ecosystem Modeling and Solutions

The Role of Social Influence Processes and Diverse Collaborative Networks on Systemic Change

Room: Heritage

Demonstration:

Agent-based Modeling Demonstration

4:20 PM – 5:20 PM

TOPICAL NETWORKING SESSION

"Birds of a Feather" small group discussions

Room: Big Ten A

5:00 – 6:00 PM

Poster Set-Up

Room: Big Ten A

6:00 – 7:30 PM

Poster Session and Reception

Room: Big Ten A

Time June 5, 2015
7:00 AM

REGISTRATION

Kellogg Center, South Lobby (near door to parking ramp)

7:30 – 8:00 AM

BREAKFAST

Room: Big Ten A

8:00 – 8:15 AM

INTRODUCTION:

Miles McNall

Room: Big Ten A

8:15 – 9:15 AM

PLENARY SPEAKER:

Peter Hovmand
Community Based System Dynamics: Lessons From the Field

Room: Big Ten A

 

Track One: Experienced Modelers

Track Two: People New to Systems Thinking and Modeling

9:30 – 10:50 AM
Concurrent Sessions

Session 11: Systems Approaches to Conservation and Land Use Planning

Room: 103

Presentations:

A Comparative Study of Hazara Forest Communities in Pakistan: A System Dynamics Approach

Liking and Power in Communication Networks: What Influences Who Talks to Whom for Conservation Practices?


Session 12: Participatory Modeling Approaches to Improving Nutrition and Health

Room: 104

Presentations:

Using Collaborative Systems Modeling to Inform State Policymaking on Childhood Obesity in Georgia

Using System Dynamics Modeling to Foster Effective School-Based Wellness Program Planning and Implementation


Session 13: Participatory Approaches to Modeling and Managing Water Resources and Aquatic Systems

Room: 106

Presentations:

A Stakeholder-Centered Approach to Fisheries Management in the Great Lakes

Quantitative Systems Modeling for Participatory Watershed Management and Decision Making in the Coeur d'Alene Basin

Socially Downscaling the Hydrological Impacts of Climate Change

Room: Heritage

Demonstration:

Participatory System Dynamics Modeling Demonstration: Modeling the Detroit Food System

10:50 – 11:00 AM

BREAK

Refreshments near South Lobby

11:00 AM – 12:10 PM
Concurrent Sessions

Session 14: Qualitative Systems Mapping Techniques

Room: 103

Presentations:

Pedagogy for a Wicked World: The Value and Hazards of a Transdisciplinary, Dialogue-Driven, Community-Engaged Classroom Model

Using Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping as a Participatory Approach to Measure Resilience, Change, and Preferred States of Social-Ecological Systems


Session 15: Quantitative Systems Modeling Approaches

Room: 104

Presentations:

Combining System Dynamics Modeling with Other Methods: A Systematic Review

Models, Hypotheses, and Ecological Theory: Can an Iterative Institutionalized Model-Making Research Program Help Bridge the Gap Between Empirical and Theoretical Ecology?

Principles of Participatory Ensemble Modeling to Study Complex Socioecological Systems


Session 16: The ABLe Change Process

Room: 106

Demonstration:

The ABLe Change Process: A Participatory Systemic Action Learning Process

 
12:20 – 1:30 PM

LUNCH AND PLENARY SPEAKER:

Moira Zellner
Participatory Complex Systems Modeling for Environmental Planning: Opportunities and Barriers to Learning and Policy Innovation

Room: Big Ten A

1:40 – 3:00 PM
Concurrent Sessions

Session 17: Using the Community Capitals Framework to Model Community Change

Room: 103

Presentations:

Mowed Grass, Less Fear, More Trust: Community Capitals and the Neighborhood Effects of Urban Greening (the Case of Flint, Michigan)

The Issues of Drought in Public Health Efforts: What can be Done in the Future?

Using Ripple Effects Mapping to Determine Community Capitals Outcomes


Session 18: Collaborative Geodesign in Practice

Room: 104

Demonstration:

Collaborative Geodesign in Practice


Session 19: Interactive Agent-Based Simulations for Renewable Resource Management

Room: 106

Demonstration:

Interactive Agent-Based Simulations for Renewable Resource Management: The Companion Modeling Approach

Room: Heritage

Demonstration:

Participatory System Dynamics Modeling Demonstration: Modeling the Detroit Food System (continued)

3:00 – 4:00 PM

CLOSING SESSION

Room: Big Ten A